Economics 101: I predict a recession

Having finished Neil Gaiman’s wonderful collection of twisting tales called “Fragile things” I picked up Stiglitz’s book that was lying on my coffee table. Joseph Stiglitz is an economist, amongst other things a Nobel Prize winner, former World Bank Chief Economist and ex-Chairman of Clinton’s Council of Economic advisors. His 2002 book is called Globalisation and its discontents, I think I’ve reviewed it earlier in these pages. As I flipped through the book again, Jeremy Paxman was chatting with Paul Mason, their economics editor on BBC’s Newsnight. (P.S. And as I later visit the Newsnight website I see that, coincidence of coincidences, Mr. Stiglitz is on the show tonight).

I decided to list some thoughts on aspects of global economics.

Beggar thy neighbour – Globalisation vs Nationalisation is something I have already mentioned in another arena (Sarkozy preventing Sovereign Wealth Funds of other nations from buying up French companies). Stiglitz brings this home very clearly in his examination of protectionist tendencies of so-called “free markets”. Countries that have failed to unite to introduce economic measures together will now do so with national interests put first, as is happening with the UK auto industry as we speak.

Borrowing – All economics is essentially housekeeping. Global economics is housekeeping on a larger scale. This means the same rules apply to both, such as “You can’t have outgo without income”.

Quis custodiet ipsos cutodiare? – Who watches the watchmen, or in this case who regulates the regulators?

Cui bono? – Who benefits? One of the two prime considerations in any good murder mystery is motive. The other is opportunity. Stiglitz says:

…Wall Street regards inflation as the worst thing in the world: it erodes the real value of what is owed to creditors, which leads to increases in interest rates, which in turn lead to declines in bond prices. To financiers, unemployment is far less of a concern.

The next bubble – The Essentials for any bubble are scarcity and demand. Both of these can be artificial. Look for precious resources like water being squeezed next. There’s also money to be made in “Going Green”.

Juggling – In any news feature or documentary, why does the word ‘Globalisation’ have to be accompanied by a clip of a hippie juggling? Watch out for it the next time.

I’ll end by paraphrasing a famous quote.

“Making a speech on economics is a lot like pissing down your leg. It seems hot to you, but it never does to anyone else.”

It’s all in the fingers

Look at your hand. If you are male and your index (2nd) finger is longer than your ring (4th) finger, you are a testosterone-driven manimal, and likely to be a successful financial trader.

More info can be found on Tim Harford’s site.

Meanwhile, on the radio this morning I heard someone being described as “…a person whose father stays up all night going through his birth records looking for a loophole”.

Man, that’s gotta hurt!

Prog Rock

Last fm radio has dragged up for me names like

Porcupine Tree (Anesthetise)

Demians (Temple)

Coheed and Cambria (The Suffering)

Tera Melos (Melody 3)

Riverside (Out of Myself)

and of course, without which no prog rock list could be complete,

The Fall of Troy (Mouths like Sidewinder Missiles)

Listen up! There’s a whole world of prog rock out there!

Explaining the credit crunch to a five-year old

Tim Harford does a satirical take on the credit crunch in this response to a Dear Economist letter.

The story revolves around a girl called Consumerella, who wanted to buy lots of pretty things…

Barcelona

Finally back to a wintry Manchester.

Barcelona was great, managed to do a lot more this time around.

List of activities include:

    Catching up with Ana, Papitu and Cuca, and having tapas and beer in a Beatles-themed bar.Making friends with Amelia, (the first person we met therefore by the Rules of Travel an Australian!) and having generous EUR 2.50 mojitos in Ryan’s on Ample.Watching Barcelona v Valencia at the Camp Nou (finishing in a 4-0 thrashing for Valencia).

    Visiting Castell de Montjuic again via the cable car (not walking this time, phew!).

    Looking down from the Estadi Olimpic towards the beautiful Telefonica statue set against an azure blue sky, then walking down to the gorgeous interior and views from Museu Nacional d’ Art Catalunya, Poble Espanyol and Placa Espanya.

    Seeing the Sagrada Familia again, taking the lift all the way to the top of the spires and walking down them.

    Clubbing at the huge, multi-venue Razzmatazz where I saw Ladyhawke perform live.

    Visiting Barcelona Zoo and seeing the angry mutha hippo charging at everyone and everything. The dolphins were also great.

    Strolling the Parc Guell till I had Gaudi coming out of my ears.

    Consuming Pita Shawarma at Pita Hut, abusing the metro, EUR 1 beers, EUR 3 ciggies, smoking with the Frenchies…

    And not to forget, a Mexican-themed visit to the Hotel Aranea!

T’was the Xmas spirit

Just seen this here.

“T’was the night before Christmas, and all through the block,
Not a creature was stirring, thanks to my Glock”

Equal opportunity in space

1. NASA begins a USD 1 billion DIY project on the USD 100 billion Space Station.

2. NASA sends a woman to do the job.

1 + 2 =

3. Oops!

Read the full story here

Alright, I’m finished.

Pizza / Pasta Hut

Is it me?

I understand Pizza / Pasta Hut wanting to move towards healthier offerings in the shoes of pretty much all other fast food chains.

Hence the Pizza / Pasta renaming / rebranding malarkey / confusion.

But imagine this; I receive a flyer / menu with delights for delivery such as Tuscani Chicken Alfredo for £10.99 (introductory offer as well!)

Eleven Squid for a pasta dish???? As an Intro – f*%$(!& – ductory Offer??? Do you even know what you’re up against??

Good Luck, Pasta Hut!! Or shall I say, Hasta La Vista Hut?

John Williams at the Bridgewater

I was at the Bridgewater Hall again yesterday. The “world’s foremost classical guitarist” John Williams was playing the guitar (John C. Williams, not the American composer John T. Williams, as the musician himself was to point out).

The first half of the set started with:

Three pieces by Vivaldi, then two pieces from Spain; I loved Valses Poetico (Poetic Waltzes) by Enrique Granados. It was followed by four of John’s own compositions: Prelude to a Song, Open End, Song Without Words and Hello Francis (in memory of his friend Cameroonian musician Francis Bebey).

The second half continued with:

Paraguayan composer Agustin Pio Barrios started the set with a beautiful score, followed by three music scores from films (Cinema Paradiso, The Deerhunter and Schindler’s List) and then a piece from Australian composer Peter Joshua Sculthorpe based on an Aboriginal secular tune called Djilile. This was followed by one more own comp in two parts (Notes in the Margin), followed by a few Irish folk songs. For the encore he played a Neapolitan melody.

As usual the venue was amazing, the sound created by one single acoustic guitar was astounding, and the Belgian Chocolate ice-cream was delicious!

Favourite piece? Djilile; it was mesmerising.

Change

here’s what the internet dragged up in three clicks. Quite varying opinions..

“Change is inevitable – except from a vending machine.”

“What you have become is the price you paid to get what you used to want.”

“Things alter for the worse spontaneously, if they be not altered for the better designedly.”

Robert Frost is more to the point, perhaps..

“Forgive, O Lord, my little jokes on Thee and I’ll forgive Thy great big one on me.”